HUT — Hut 8 Corp

Energy infrastructure & Bitcoin mining platform. | Analysis date: 2026-03-13

Why are we looking at this?

Leopold holds HUT as part of his data center infrastructure thesis. Hut 8 is pivoting from pure Bitcoin mining to a power-first energy infrastructure platform with 1,020 MW of power capacity. AGI score 8 reflects high demand for power infrastructure. The stock has run from $10 to $48 in the past year.

$48.32
Stock Price
$5.4B
Market Cap
3.46x
Price / Tang. Book
$235M
Revenue (TTM)
-$139M
Operating Cash Flow
-$372M
Free Cash Flow
N/M
P/E (unprofitable)
8/10
AGI Score
Stock Price — HUT

1. The Business

Hut 8 is an energy infrastructure platform with three layers: Power (1,020 MW capacity), Digital Infrastructure (data centers), and Compute (GPU/ASIC hosting). Based in Miami, 248 employees. Revenue growing rapidly ($61M to $162M to $235M over 3 years). Pivoting from pure BTC mining to AI/HPC data center services. Recently acquired multiple data center sites.

2. Financial History

MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$61M$162M$235M
Net Income$6M$331M-$248M
Operating Cash Flow-$20M-$69M-$139M
Capital Expenditures$7M$7M$353M
Operating Income$10M$461M-$322M

Key Financial Metrics

3. Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet (Latest FY)Value
Total Assets$2.8B
Cash & Equivalents$45M
Property, Plant & Equipment$643M
Goodwill$210M
Intangible Assets$10M
Long-Term Debt$409M
Stockholders Equity$1.7B
Tangible Book Value$1.5B
Tangible Book / Share$13.95
Shares Outstanding105,328,890

4. Shares Outstanding & Dilution

YearShares OutstandingChange
FY202351,268,013-
FY202491,320,744+78.1%
FY2025105,328,890+15.3%

5. Leopold Aschenbrenner Connection

Leopold Aschenbrenner holds HUT — data center infrastructure + Bitcoin mining play.

6. Bull vs Bear

Bull: Power Infrastructure Scarcity

Data center power is the single biggest bottleneck for AI scaling. Hut 8's 1,020 MW of secured power capacity could be worth $5-10M per MW to hyperscalers. The company is transitioning from BTC mining (~5x multiple) to data center infrastructure (~15-25x). If even 500 MW is contracted for AI/HPC at data center multiples, the power alone could be worth $5-10B vs current $5.4B market cap.

Bull: Bitcoin + AI Optionality

Hut 8 holds BTC on its balance sheet. The BTC treasury provides a floor, while the AI/HPC pivot provides upside. Unlike pure Bitcoin miners, Hut 8 can monetize power for whichever use case pays more, creating natural optionality.

Bear: Cash Burn & Execution Risk

Operating cash flow is deeply negative (-$139M in FY2025) and CapEx is massive ($353M). The company is burning cash to build out infrastructure. If data center demand disappoints, the cash burn is unsustainable. Shares have diluted from 51M to 105M in 2 years.

Bear: Valuation Already Reflects Pivot

At $48/share and $5.4B market cap, the stock trades at 3.7x book value. This is NOT cheap. The market has already priced in significant data center value. If the pivot stalls, the stock could revert to BTC mining multiples (~1-1.5x book = $13-19/share).

7. 10x Analysis — Working Backwards

Bull Case Target / 10 = Entry Price

Current Price$48.32
Bull Case Price (by 2030-2035)$150
10x Entry Price (Bull Case / 10)$15
Current Price vs 10x Entry$48.32 ABOVE entry zone

Rationale: If 500MW contracted for AI at $8M/MW ($4B value) + BTC treasury, potential $15B market cap = ~$135/share. Entry for 10x: $15/share. Would need a severe BTC crash + failed pivot to reach this level.

8. Initial Assessment

Summary

HUT at $48.32: Trading well above the 10x entry zone (would need a significant pullback for 10x potential).

AGI Score 8/10 — Strong AGI beneficiary. Leopold holds this position.

Floor estimate: Tangible book value per share is $13.95. Current price is well above tangible book: downside protection comes from cash flows, not assets.

Data sources: SEC EDGAR XBRL, yfinance, 10-K filings. Analysis date: 2026-03-13.