AGI-thesis investment research. Best ideas, sector research, and deep dives.
High-conviction positions. Click "View Report" for full analysis with live price chart.
| Ticker | Company | Thesis | Score | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | World's only advanced-node foundry. Every AI chip is made here. Physical moat: $100B+ and 10+ years to replicate. | 9 | View Report → |
| MU | Micron Technology | HBM memory for AI GPUs. Cycle play — buy at trough ($90-140). Currently at peak earnings. Supply shortage extends to 2027-2030. | 8 | View Report → |
| SKHYNIX | SK Hynix (000660.KS) | HBM market leader (62% share). Best memory business in the world. Korean-listed, harder to access but better positioned than Micron. | 8 | View Report → |
Q4 2025 13F filing. Cost basis analysis. BE, CRWV, INTC top positions.
INVESTORLi Lu, Ted Weschler, Todd Combs, Mohnish Pabrai, Leopold Aschenbrenner.
Every power source (grid, gas, fuel cells, solar, nuclear, SMRs, geothermal, fusion), real costs, timelines, and what actually matters.
INDUSTRY$150B foundry market. TSMC dominance, Intel trust deficit, CHIPS Act.
INDUSTRYEthernet switches, InfiniBand vs Ethernet for AI, NVIDIA Spectrum-X threat, Broadcom ASIC monopoly. ANET/AVGO/NVDA.
INDUSTRYGW capacity estimates for Anthropic and OpenAI. Google/Broadcom 3.5 GW deal. Projections: 2 GW per training run by 2027, 5 GW by 2028.
INDUSTRYHow biotech works, drug development process, sub-sectors, AI/AGI disruption, Anthropic's Coefficient Bio acquisition, AI labs entering biotech.
Post-AGI compute demand, training vs inference, who captures value.
QUESTIONPermanently scarce, AGI-proof assets. All publicly traded teams.
QUESTIONPost-AGI land value thesis. Scarce physical assets.
QUESTIONPower, chips, cooling, networking — what AGI needs day one.
QUESTIONEvery component from electricity to token — and which survive when AGI can design anything but needs time to build it.
QUESTIONHow long will AGI self-improve before solving real-world problems? The interstellar analogy, and why the answer is "not long."
First end-to-end deep-value funnel run. Pre-filter → rank → 16 parallel Opus agents. Best ideas: OSG, OM, ACTG, FPH, CCRN, CABO, GASS, XPER, CYRX, SRBK.
FRAMEWORKThe 5 systematic sources we use to generate the next stock to analyze: AGI thesis, deep value, superinvestor 13Fs, news movers, crashed stocks.
SECTOR REPORTCapacity expansion plans for Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron. Bottleneck sequence (CoWoS → stacking → wafers). Earliest oversupply: H2 2027.
RESEARCHExhaustive screen: 12.9% of NYSE/Nasdaq stocks 10x'd in 10 years. Distributions, patterns, full list.
DEEP DIVEBusiness, financial, management, risk, AGI impact, valuation.
STRATEGY8 analysis layers, funnel from 8,049 to ~10 companies.
PILOTAsset-based valuation and downside protection methodology.
FRAMEWORK24 categories — the master checklist for deep-diving any company.
DEEP DIVE73 stocks that 10x'd (2016-2026) — 9 patterns, master table, and implications.
Data sources: SEC EDGAR (10-K, 13F), company filings, Forbes franchise valuations. Live prices: Finnhub. Fair values: first-principles segment analysis by Claude.
Last updated: 2026-04-23