OEC — Orion Engineered Carbons

Specialty chemicals — largest global producer of carbon black for polymers, batteries, inks, coatings, and tire/rubber reinforcement. 14 production facilities globally. | AGI Score: 6/10 | P/TB: 0.71x | Analysis date: 2026-03-13

Why are we looking at this?

Specialty chemicals trading at 0.71x book value. Carbon black is a critical input for EV batteries (conductive additive in lithium-ion). AGI score of 6 reflects demand boost from EV transition and data center power buildout. Deep value with potential AGI-adjacent catalyst.

$4.77
Stock Price
$268M
Market Cap
0.71x
Price / Book
$2B
Revenue (TTM)
$216M
Operating Cash Flow
$66M
Free Cash Flow
P/E (trailing)
5.6x
EV/EBITDA
1.7%
Dividend Yield
$71M
Cash
$1B
Total Debt
289%
Debt/Equity
1.02
Beta
$4.34
52-Week Low
$13.93
52-Week High
Stock Price — OEC

1. Business Overview

Specialty chemicals — largest global producer of carbon black for polymers, batteries, inks, coatings, and tire/rubber reinforcement. 14 production facilities globally.

Sector: Specialty Chemicals | Employees: 1,639

2. AGI Impact Assessment

AGI Impact Assessment (Score: 6/10)

6
Demand Boost
5
Margin Expansion
5
Strategic Assets
3
Disruption Risk
4
Innovation Risk
medium
Confidence

Category: Physical Bottleneck

Strong demand boost from batteries for EVs and energy storage (carbon black is conductive additive in lithium-ion batteries). AGI scaling also drives data center power demand indirectly supporting industrial production. Margin expansion moderate from optimized manufacturing and R&D. Strategic assets include global production facilities and process expertise (takes years to build new plants). Innovation risk moderate - AGI could design alternative conductive additives or battery chemistries, but physical production infrastructure and tire/coating applications provide buffer. Sits at intersection of EV transition (AGI-adjacent) and industrial production.

3. Bull vs Bear Case

Bull Case

EV battery demand drives volume growth for specialty carbon black. 14 global plants = physical moat (takes years to build). At 0.71x book, you get hard assets cheap. Carbon black from petroleum feedstock — they benefit from both EV growth AND continued fossil fuel economy.

Bear Case

Commodity chemical business with thin margins. AGI could accelerate development of alternative battery chemistries that don't need carbon black. Petroleum feedstock costs are volatile. Luxembourg-domiciled = European regulatory overhead.

4. Financial History (XBRL — Backwards 10x)

MetricFY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$2B$322M$316M$2B$2B$2B$2B$2B
Net Income$121M$19M$9M$135M$106M$104M$44M$-70M
Operating Income$196M$33M$26M$228M$197M$205M$103M$28M
Operating Cash Flow$122M$232M$125M$145M$81M$346M$125M$216M
CapEx$111M$159M$139M$215M$233M$173M$207M$161M
Total Assets$1B$1B$1B$2B$2B$2B$2B$2B
Stockholders Equity$159M$186M$181M$320M$459M$478M$475M$385M
Shares Outstanding59,567,00059,986,00060,430,00060,708,00060,902,00058,995,00058,223,00056,324,000
Free Cash Flow*$11M$73M$-14M$-70M$-152M$173M$-81M$55M
Share Count Change+0.7%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%-3.1%-1.3%-3.3%

*FCF = Operating Cash Flow - CapEx

5. Balance Sheet Snapshot

Balance Sheet ItemLatest FY
Total Assets$2B
PP&E (net)$1B
Cash & Equivalents$61M
Goodwill$0
Intangible Assets$14M
Total Liabilities$2B
Long-Term Debt$674M
Stockholders Equity$385M
Tangible Book Value$370M

Asset Quality Assessment

Goodwill: None reported — no goodwill on books = tangible book IS book value (good)

Intangible Assets: $14M

PP&E: $1B — physical assets that could be liquidated

Tangible Book Value: $370M ($6.58 per share)

6. Valuation & Floor Price

Valuation Metrics

MetricValueNotes
Book Value / Share$6.83Stockholders equity / shares
Tangible Book Value / Share$6.58Equity minus goodwill & intangibles
Price / Revenue0.15xMarket cap / TTM revenue
OCF Yield80.4%Operating cash flow / market cap
FCF Yield24.7%Free cash flow / market cap
Floor Price Estimate (60% TBV)$3.95Conservative: 60% of tangible book value per share

Floor Price Analysis

Tangible Book Value per share: $6.58

Conservative Floor (60% of TBV): $3.95 — At this price, you are buying hard assets at 60 cents on the dollar with margin of safety.

Current price $4.77 is below tangible book value ($6.58).

7. 10-K Filing Extracts

Item 1: Business Description (excerpt)

Item 1. Business Overview Orion S.A. (“Orion”, “Company”, “we” or “our”), is a Luxembourg joint stock corporation ( société anonyme or S.A.), incorporated in 2014 as a Luxembourg limited liability company ( société à responsabilité limitée ). Our registered office is located at 6, Route de Trèves, L-2633 Senningerberg (Municipality of Niederanven), Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. Our principal executive office is located in Spring, Texas, U.S. We are one of the largest global producers of Specialty and Rubber Carbon Black. Carbon black is a powdered form of carbon that is used to create a variety of desired physical, electrical and optical qualities of various materials. Carbon black products are primarily used as additives for the production of polymers, batteries, printing inks and coatings (“Specialty Carbon Black” or “Specialty”) and in the reinforcement of tires and other rubber applications (“Rubber Carbon Black” or “Rubber”). Our core competencies include the ability to engineer the physical properties of carbon black to meet the functional needs of our customers. We currently operate 14 wholly owned production facilities, excluding the under-construction facility at La Porte, Texas, in Europe, North and South America, South Africa, and Asia, and one jointly-owned production facility at Dortmund, Germany. Our headquarters in Luxembourg, we have our principal executive office in Spring, Texas (U.S.), as well as offices in Frankfurt (Germany), Cologne (Germany), Shan

Item 7: MD&A (excerpt)

Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following discussion and analysis summarizes the significant factors affecting our results of operations and financial condition during the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, and should be read in conjunction with the information included under Item 1. Business and Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data included elsewhere in this Annual Report. We prepare our financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP” or “U.S. GAAP”) and in U.S. dollars. This section discusses year-to-year comparisons between 2025 and 2024. For discussions on year-to-year comparison between 2024 and 2023 refer to Part II, Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our 2024 Annual Report in Form 10-K filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on February 19, 2025 (the “ Prior Annual Report ”). Key Factors Affecting Our Results of Operations We believe certain factors had, and will continue to have, a material effect on our results of operations and financial condition. As many of these factors are beyond our control, and certain of these factors have historically been volatile, past performance will not necessarily be indicative of future performance, and it is difficult to predict future performance with any degree of certainty. In addit

8. Initial Assessment

Summary — OEC (Orion Engineered Carbons)

What assets exist? PP&E of $1B. Total assets of $2B Tangible book value of $370M. No goodwill — clean balance sheet.

Are buybacks real? No significant buybacks reported.

Is the business durable? Specialty Chemicals with AGI score 6/10. Moderate AGI exposure — some disruption risk but also potential benefits.

What is the floor? At $3.95 (60% of TBV), downside is limited by hard assets. Current price $4.77 is above the floor estimate.

Data sources: SEC EDGAR XBRL, yfinance, 10-K filing extracts, AGI scoring framework. Analysis date: 2026-03-13.