STT — State Street (Preferred G)

Custodian bank, asset manager, and asset servicer. $4.7T AUM, $46.6T AUC/A. One of the Big Three index fund providers (SPDR ETFs). | Financial Services — Custody / Asset Management | AGI Score: ?/10 | Analysis date: 2026-03-13

Why are we looking at this? — Preferred Stock Discount to Par

STT-PG is a preferred stock (fixed income-like). The parent trades at 1.4x book, but the PREFERRED trades at 0.45x par value — meaning you can buy $100 of par value for $45. Preferreds are senior to common equity. If STT doesn't go bankrupt, the preferred is money good. The question is: what's the yield-to-par?

$121.34
Stock Price
$33.9B
Market Cap
1.39x
Price / Book
1.80x
Price / Tangible Book
12.9x
P/E (trailing)
9.3x
P/E (forward)
$13.9B
Revenue (LTM)
$2.7B
Net Income
2.7%
Dividend Yield
Stock Price — STT

1. The Business

Custodian bank, asset manager, and asset servicer. $4.7T AUM, $46.6T AUC/A. One of the Big Three index fund providers (SPDR ETFs).

Key Stats

SectorFinancial Services
IndustryAsset Management
Employees51,503
ROE11.1%
ROA0.8%
Gross Margin0.0%
Operating Margin33.9%
Profit Margin21.2%

Market Data

52-Week Range$72.81 — $137.05
Beta1.416
Avg Volume2,209,845
Short Ratio2.85
EV / EBITDA
Analyst Target$144.3 (buy)
Float Shares263M
Payout Ratio34.0%

2. Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet Composition

ItemValue% of AssetsNotes
ASSETS ($366.0B)
PP&E (net)$3.2B0.9%Physical assets
Goodwill$8.2B2.2%Intangible — scrutinize
Other Intangibles$935M0.3%
Other Assets$353.8B96.6%Receivables, investments, etc.
LIABILITIES
Long-Term Debt$11.5B3.2%
Other Liabilities$326.7B89.2%
EQUITY
Stockholders' Equity$27.8B7.6%
Tangible Book Value$18.7BEquity minus goodwill & intangibles
Tangible Book / Share$67.26vs price $121.34

3. Financial History

Metric202020212022202320242025
Revenue$11.7B$12.0B$12.1B$11.9B$13.0B$13.9B
Net Income$2.3B$2.6B$2.7B$1.8B$2.5B$2.7B
Total Assets$314.7B$314.6B$301.4B$297.3B$353.2B$366.0B
Equity$26.2B$27.4B$25.2B$23.8B$25.3B$27.8B
Long-Term Debt
Cash
OCF$3.5B-$6.7B$12.0B$690M-$13.2B$11.9B
PP&E$2.2B$2.3B$2.3B$2.4B$2.7B$3.2B
Goodwill$7.7B$7.6B$7.5B$7.6B$7.7B$8.2B
Shares (Diluted)357M358M370M327M302M289M

4. Shares Outstanding & Buybacks

PeriodShares (Diluted)Change
2020-12-31357,106,000
2021-12-31357,962,000+0.2%
2022-12-31370,109,000+3.4%
2023-12-31326,568,000-11.8%
2024-12-31302,226,000-7.5%
2025-12-31289,019,000-4.4%
Total Change-19.1%

Significant buyback activity. Share count declining 19% over the period. This mechanically increases EPS and book value per share even with no underlying growth.

5. 10x Entry Price Analysis

Working Backwards: What Entry Price Gives 10x?

Current EPS: $9.40 | Current Book/Share: $96.33 | Current Price: $121.34

Scenario7yr Future PriceEntry for 10xvs CurrentAssumptions
Conservative$193.34$19.33+528% below8% EPS growth, 12x exit P/E
Bull Case$375.09$37.51+223% below15% EPS growth, 15x exit P/E
Buyback Only$121.97$12.20+895%No revenue growth, buybacks continue at current rate, 12x P/E

6. AGI Impact Assessment (Score: ?/10)

Demand Boost?/10How much AGI increases demand for this company's products
Margin Expansion?/10How much AGI reduces costs / expands margins
Strategic Assets?/10Unique assets that become more valuable with AGI
Disruption Risk?/10Risk that AGI disrupts the core business model
Innovation Risk?/10Risk of being out-innovated by AGI-native competitors
Overall AGI Score?/10Category: unknown

Reasoning: No detailed reasoning available.

7. Bull & Bear Cases

Bull Case

  • STT-PG preferred trades at $45 vs $100 par = 55% discount to par
  • State Street is a systemically important financial institution (SIFI) — very unlikely to fail
  • $4.7T AUM, $46.6T AUC/A — massive, entrenched franchise
  • SPDR ETF franchise is one of the most valuable in asset management
  • Preferred is senior to common equity — priority in bankruptcy

Bear Case

  • Preferred may be perpetual with no redemption obligation
  • If coupon rate is low vs market rates, will trade at discount indefinitely
  • AGI could disrupt custody/back-office operations — but also reduces costs
  • Common stock is doing fine (1.4x book) — preferred discount may be structural
  • Mark-to-market losses on bond portfolio can affect capital ratios

8. Initial Assessment

Summary

STT (State Street (Preferred G)) trades at 1.39x book value (1.80x tangible book) with $2.7B net income on a $33.9B market cap (8.0% earnings yield). ROE of 11.1%. Shares have declined 19% over the measurement period through buybacks.

Verdict: NEEDS DEEPER ANALYSIS — Preferred Stock Mechanics. STT-PG is fundamentally different from the other companies here — it's a fixed-income instrument, not an equity play. Trading at $45 vs $100 par (55% discount) sounds incredible, but the discount likely reflects: (1) low coupon rate vs current market rates, (2) perpetual nature (no maturity date), (3) callable at par. Need to find the coupon rate and calculate yield-to-worst. If the current yield is competitive with market rates AND there's par upside, this could be compelling. If the coupon is 4-5%, the discount is rational.

Data sources: SEC EDGAR XBRL (CIK 93751), yfinance, 10-K filing, AGI scoring framework. Analysis date: 2026-03-13.